Table 7.Spec MODELS SHOULD BE INTERPRETED AS FOLLOWS Main(no status): as model 7 in Table 26 excluding occupational status Xtrahlth: as Main(no status) but with additional health controls (general health, continuous not categorical GHQ, LLSI, GP visits) t0 wld: as Main(no status) but including baseline WLD Ethnicity: as Main(no status) but with less crude measures of ethnicity Exc tempsick: as Main(no status) but excluding those temporarily sick in the week before the baseline interview t+2 exc tempsick: as 'Exc tempsick', but looking at WLD two waves into the future Main>: as Main(no status) but excluding activity limitations and hospitalisation MFP: as Main(no status) but with multivariable fractional polynomial transformations of continuous variables Main(NoSt) XtraHlth t0 wld Ethnicity Exc tempsick t+2 exc tempsick Main> MFP ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Low control (base) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] Moderate control 0.77* 0.76* 0.79* 0.77* 0.81 0.82+ 0.78* 0.77* [0.61,0.97] [0.60,0.97] [0.62,1.00] [0.61,0.98] [0.62,1.06] [0.66,1.02] [0.62,0.98] [0.61,0.97] High control 0.71* 0.72* 0.72* 0.72* 0.78 0.68* 0.74* 0.73* [0.52,0.97] [0.53,0.98] [0.53,0.98] [0.53,0.97] [0.55,1.10] [0.50,0.92] [0.55,0.99] [0.54,0.97] Low demands (base) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] Moderate demands 1.15 1.15 1.16 1.15 1.09 1.05 1.13 1.13 [0.91,1.45] [0.91,1.46] [0.92,1.47] [0.91,1.45] [0.84,1.42] [0.83,1.31] [0.89,1.42] [0.90,1.42] High demands 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.96 0.92 0.90 0.90 [0.69,1.27] [0.69,1.28] [0.69,1.28] [0.69,1.27] [0.68,1.35] [0.68,1.23] [0.67,1.22] [0.66,1.22] Low physicality (base) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] [1.00,1.00] Moderate physicality 1.61** 1.56** 1.56** 1.61** 1.60** 1.26 1.54** 1.51** [1.17,2.20] [1.15,2.13] [1.14,2.13] [1.17,2.20] [1.12,2.28] [0.95,1.67] [1.16,2.05] [1.14,2.01] High physicality 1.70** 1.63** 1.66** 1.70** 1.69** 1.55** 1.57** 1.52** [1.23,2.35] [1.18,2.24] [1.20,2.30] [1.23,2.36] [1.17,2.43] [1.14,2.09] [1.18,2.10] [1.14,2.03] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- N 52608 52571 52580 52608 51737 47884 52608 52608 Num persons 10742 10740 10740 10742 10682 9575 10742 10742 Incidence 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.37 Parameters 97 105 99 100 97 97 92 84 _ *** Control: low vs. high *** Baseline (high control) 0.941 0.951 0.938 0.943 1.119 Effect of low control 0.335 0.319 0.318 0.329 0.494 0.304 0.320 SE 0.154 0.154 0.151 0.155 0.194 p 0.030 0.038 0.036 0.033 0.011 _ *** Demands: high vs. low *** Baseline (low demands) 1.056 1.051 1.045 1.056 1.373 Effect of high demands -0.063 -0.053 -0.054 -0.063 -0.110 -0.097 -0.099 SE 0.143 0.142 0.141 0.143 0.187 p 0.658 0.709 0.701 0.660 0.556 _ *** Control: low vs. high (low demands) *** Baseline (low-strain) 0.919 0.925 0.911 0.921 1.126 Effect of low control SE p _ *** High-strain vs. Active *** Baseline (active) Effect of high-strain SE p _ *** High-strain vs. Low-strain *** Baseline (low-strain, as above) Effect of high-strain 0.253 0.250 0.247 0.248 0.368 SE 0.248 0.246 0.241 0.248 0.312 p 0.307 0.310 0.305 0.316 0.238 _ *** Control, linear *** Baseline (high control) Effect of low control SE p _ *** Demands, linear *** Baseline (low demands) Effect of high demands SE p _ *** High-strain vs. Active (linear) *** Baseline (active) Effect of high-strain SE p _ *** High-strain vs. Low-strain (linear) *** Baseline (low-strain) Effect of high-strain SE p _ *** Control: low vs. high (low dem, lin) *** Baseline (low-strain, as above) Effect of low control SE p _ *** Manager vs Non-manager *** Baseline (manager) Effect of being non-manager se p _ *** Manager vs Supervisor*** Baseline (manager, as above) Effect of being supervisor se p ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exponentiated coefficients; 95% confidence intervals in brackets + p<0.10, * p<0.05, ** p<0.01, *** p<0.001